Brexit poses risk to global financial stability, says IMF

&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"wpcnt">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"wpa">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<span class&equals;"wpa-about">Advertisements<&sol;span>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"u top&lowbar;amp">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<amp-ad width&equals;"300" height&equals;"265"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; type&equals;"pubmine"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; data-siteid&equals;"111265417"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; data-section&equals;"2">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;amp-ad>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div><p>The International Monetary Fund &lpar;IMF&rpar; has included Brexit among key risks to the stability of the global economy in a new report&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The organisation has called for financial institutions to &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;step up their preparations for a post-Brexit landscape” and include measures for a no-deal Brexit &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;in as much detail as possible”&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>In its two-yearly health assessment of the global financial system&comma; the IMF said that &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;growing anxiety” about a breakdown in negotiations between Britain and the EU could lead to uncertainty in the UK and elsewhere&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Should such pressures hit one of the world’s largest economies it could trigger a &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;sharp tightening of global financial conditions”&comma; the report says&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The IMF’s assessment comes after the Bank of England warned that an estimated £41 trillion of derivatives face legal uncertainty after Brexit on March 29&comma; unless the EU takes action to ensure continuity of existing rules&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The UK is passing legislation through Parliament to allow EU-based providers of insurance policies and centrally cleared derivatives to continue to service their UK customers&period; But the EU has yet to take similar action&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The IMF’s warning was included in the latest edition of its Global Financial Stability Report&comma; which is one of the most comprehensive reviews it has carried out since the 2008 crash&period; It highlighted short-term risks that could affect the UK and EU during the Brexit transition period&comma; which is slated to end on December 31 2020&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The report says that ensuring continuity of contracts is &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;one of the most pressing issues” for derivatives in the short-term&period; Meanwhile&comma; an estimated £55 billion of insurance contracts by UK insurers to EU policyholders could be disrupted if City-based companies lose authorisation to service policies in the EU&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Along with these short-term risks&comma; the IMF says Brexit could have financial stability implications for the EU and UK systems that go beyond the transition period&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>A disorderly transition for derivatives could hit market liquidity&comma; while banks’ risk-management practices could be undermined by complexities if they have to deal with two separate regimes&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Furthermore&comma; there could be legal implications for data storing and sharing&comma; which could hamper regulators’ ability to monitor risks&period; The IMF recommended the UK and Brussels to set up permanent bodies that would work together to make sure regulation is harmonised&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>It also advised that authorities in the EU and UK should continue working with the private sector to reduce risk of disruption&comma; with &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;special attention” to arrangements that could be needed if no deal is reached&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<blockquote><p>Growing anxiety about a breakdown in Brexit negotiations could give rise to contractual and operational uncertainties in the United Kingdom and elsewhere in Europe<&sol;p><&sol;blockquote>&NewLine;<p>Meanwhile&comma; more clarity is needed over which institutions are responsible for what in order to reduce &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;possible cliff-edge risks and facilitate continuity of services”&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;A sharp tightening of global financial conditions could be triggered by a further escalation of trade tensions or by a sudden shift in risk sentiment caused by rising geopolitical risks or policy uncertainty in major economies&comma;” the report says&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;For example&comma; uncertainty about fiscal policy in some highly indebted euro area countries could damage confidence in financial markets&comma; while growing anxiety about a breakdown in Brexit negotiations could give rise to contractual and operational uncertainties in the United Kingdom and elsewhere in Europe&period;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Escalating trade tensions between the US and China and difficulties facing emerging markets could also pose &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;significant” risks to global stability and growth&comma; the report said&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>On Tuesday&comma; the IMF downgraded global economic growth to 3&period;7&percnt; for both 2018 and 2019 – 0&period;2&percnt; lower for both years than had been forecast in April&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>It listed the potential failure of Brexit negotiations and &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;unsettled” politics among the risks to global prosperity&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div style&equals;"padding-bottom&colon;15px&semi;" class&equals;"wordads-tag" data-slot-type&equals;"belowpost">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div id&equals;"atatags-dynamic-belowpost-68cd2fb3111a9">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<script type&equals;"text&sol;javascript">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;window&period;getAdSnippetCallback &equals; 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