CBI downgrades growth forecast

&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"wpcnt">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"wpa">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<span class&equals;"wpa-about">Advertisements<&sol;span>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"u top&lowbar;amp">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<amp-ad width&equals;"300" height&equals;"265"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; type&equals;"pubmine"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; data-siteid&equals;"111265417"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; data-section&equals;"2">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;amp-ad>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div><p><a href&equals;"http&colon;&sol;&sol;londonglossy&period;com&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2010&sol;12&sol;cbi-downgrades-growth-forecast&period;jpg"><img class&equals;"alignnone size-full" title&equals;"CBI has downgraded its forecast for quarterly growth in the first three months of the year" src&equals;"http&colon;&sol;&sol;londonglossy&period;com&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2010&sol;12&sol;min-cbi-downgrades-growth-forecast&period;jpg" alt&equals;"CBI has downgraded its forecast for quarterly growth in the first three months of the year"&sol;><&sol;a><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The UK economy will grow just 0&period;2&percnt; in the first quarter of 2011&comma; as Government job cuts and higher-than-expected inflation slow the recovery&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Industry body CBI downgraded its forecast for quarterly growth in the first three months of the year from 0&period;3&percnt;&comma; but said it did not expect the UK to fall back into recession&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The growth should gather pace to 0&period;4&percnt; in the second quarter and 0&period;5&percnt; for each of the third and fourth quarters&comma; giving a 2&percnt; annual growth rate for the year&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The CBI also made its first estimate for gross domestic product &lpar;GDP&rpar; growth in 2012&comma; which it expects to be 2&period;4&percnt;&comma; which it said was slower than usual for the third year of a recovery from recession&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The UK&&num;8217&semi;s economy has shown strong growth in 2010&comma; with quarterly GDP having grown 0&period;4&percnt;&comma; 1&period;2&percnt; and 0&period;8&percnt; in the first three quarters&comma; and expected to grow by 0&period;5&percnt; in the fourth quarter&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The sluggish growth in the first quarter of 2011 will be caused by consumers reacting to the increase in VAT from 17&period;5&percnt; to 20&percnt; on January 4 and by the Government making redundancies&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The CBI expects inflation to be higher than forecast throughout 2011&comma; as energy and commodity prices remain high and push up household bills&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Consumer price inflation &lpar;CPI&rpar; will remain above the Bank of England&&num;8217&semi;s &lpar;BoE&rpar; 2&percnt; target for the whole of 2011 and will dip below target at the start of 2012 before finishing 2012 at 2&period;4&percnt;&comma; according to the CBI&&num;8217&semi;s forecast&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Inflation has already been above 2&percnt; for 12 months in a row and is currently at 3&period;3&percnt;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The continued high inflation next year will force the BoE to gradually raise interest rates in the spring and the base rate will hit 2&period;75&percnt; by the final quarter of 2012&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div style&equals;"padding-bottom&colon;15px&semi;" class&equals;"wordads-tag" data-slot-type&equals;"belowpost">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div id&equals;"atatags-dynamic-belowpost-68ee2b93caa96">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<script type&equals;"text&sol;javascript">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;window&period;getAdSnippetCallback &equals; function &lpar;&rpar; &lbrace;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;if &lpar; false &equals;&equals;&equals; &lpar; window&period;isWatlV1 &quest;&quest; false &rpar; &rpar; &lbrace;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&sol;&sol; Use Aditude scripts&period;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;window&period;tudeMappings &equals; window&period;tudeMappings &vert;&vert; &lbrack;&rsqb;&semi;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;window&period;tudeMappings&period;push&lpar; &lbrace;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;divId&colon; 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