Coronavirus sees UK economy suffer largest fall since 1979 in first quarter

&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"wpcnt">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"wpa">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<span class&equals;"wpa-about">Advertisements<&sol;span>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"u top&lowbar;amp">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<amp-ad width&equals;"300" height&equals;"265"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; type&equals;"pubmine"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; data-siteid&equals;"111265417"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; data-section&equals;"2">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;amp-ad>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div><p>The UK economy contracted by more than first thought between January and March as the coronavirus crisis saw activity tumble 2&period;2&percnt; in the joint largest fall since 1979&comma; official figures have shown&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The UK Office for National Statistics &lpar;ONS&rpar; had previously estimated a 2&percnt; drop in first-quarter GDP&comma; but said the revision came after data now showed a record 6&period;9&percnt; plunge in March&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><&excl;--Ads1--><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>But with the Covid-19 lockdown only coming into force on March 23&comma; the second quarter will show the full hit on the economy after the UK ground to a standstill&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<blockquote class&equals;"twitter-tweet" data-width&equals;"550" data-dnt&equals;"true">&NewLine;<p lang&equals;"en" dir&equals;"ltr">GDP fell by a revised 2&period;2&percnt; in Q1 &lpar;Jan to Mar&rpar; 2020&comma; with services &lpar;-2&period;3&percnt;&rpar;&comma; manufacturing &lpar;-1&period;1&percnt;&rpar; and construction &lpar;-1&period;7&percnt;&rpar; all falling significantly <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;t&period;co&sol;lQYvPEx0zN">https&colon;&sol;&sol;t&period;co&sol;lQYvPEx0zN<&sol;a> <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;t&period;co&sol;T9WQgJjIiH">pic&period;twitter&period;com&sol;T9WQgJjIiH<&sol;a><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&mdash&semi; Office for National Statistics &lpar;ONS&rpar; &lpar;&commat;ONS&rpar; <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;twitter&period;com&sol;ONS&sol;status&sol;1277844585495044099&quest;ref&lowbar;src&equals;twsrc&percnt;5Etfw">June 30&comma; 2020<&sol;a><&sol;p><&sol;blockquote>&NewLine;<p><script async src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;platform&period;twitter&period;com&sol;widgets&period;js" charset&equals;"utf-8"><&sol;script><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Recent ONS figures showed the economy plummeted by 20&period;4&percnt; in April – the largest drop in a single month since records began&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Jonathan Athow&comma; deputy national statistician at the ONS&comma; said&colon; &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;Our more detailed picture of the economy in the first quarter showed GDP shrank a little more than first estimated – this is now the largest quarterly fall since 1979&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;Information from Government showed health activities declined more than we previously showed&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>All main sectors of the economy shrank significantly in March as the effects of the pandemic hit&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;The sharp fall in consumer spending at the end of March led to a notable increase in households’ savings&period;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Experts said the first quarter fall is likely to be followed by a double-digit decline between April and June&comma; with the Bank of England expecting a 20&percnt; tumble&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The first-quarter figures show that the services sector – which accounts for around three- quarters of UK GDP – shrank by a record 2&period;3&percnt;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>All non-essential shops closed their doors from March 23 and were only allowed to reopen in England on June 14&comma; while pubs and restaurants have had to remain shut until later this week&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><&excl;--Ads2--><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The ONS said production output fell by a revised 1&period;5&percnt; in the three months&comma; driven by declines in manufacturing as factories temporarily shut down&comma; while there was a fall in construction output of 1&period;7&percnt;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>It also revealed that household spending tumbled 2&period;7&percnt; or £9&period;5 billion in the largest ever fall as Britons stayed at home amid the lockdown&comma; which saw the savings ratio rise to 8&period;6&percnt; from 6&period;6&percnt; in the previous three months&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The data showed that first-quarter GDP was 1&period;7&percnt; lower on a year earlier&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Revisions to previous GDP data also revealed that annual GDP rose by 1&period;5&percnt; in 2019&comma; up from the previous estimate of 1&period;4&percnt;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>While economists are bracing for a dire set of second-quarter figures&comma; Howard Archer&comma; at the EY Item Club&comma; said April is likely to have marked the low point&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>He is predicting the economy to &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;return to clear growth in the third quarter with GDP expanding close to 10&percnt; quarter on quarter” as lockdown restrictions ease further&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>But there were also some gloomy signs for the nation’s finances&comma; as ONS data also released on Tuesday showed that Britain’s current account deficit widened by more than expected in the first quarter&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The balance of payments deficit – the difference between the value of the goods and services a country imports and the goods and services it exports – rose to £21&period;1 billion or 3&period;8&percnt; of GDP&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><&excl;--Ads3--><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>This means the UK is reliant on inflows of cash from abroad and leaves the pound vulnerable&comma; according to Samuel Tombs&comma; at Pantheon Macroeconomics&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>He added&colon; &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;Sterling almost certainly would depreciate sharply again if a major second wave of Covid-19 emerges or if the UK and EU fail to either sign a trade deal or to extend the transition period before the end of this year&period;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div style&equals;"padding-bottom&colon;15px&semi;" class&equals;"wordads-tag" data-slot-type&equals;"belowpost">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div id&equals;"atatags-dynamic-belowpost-68ecc571c08f7">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<script type&equals;"text&sol;javascript">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;window&period;getAdSnippetCallback &equals; function &lpar;&rpar; &lbrace;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;if &lpar; false &equals;&equals;&equals; 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