Coronavirus: Why is Italy the second worst affected country after China?

&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"wpcnt">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"wpa">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<span class&equals;"wpa-about">Advertisements<&sol;span>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"u top&lowbar;amp">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<amp-ad width&equals;"300" height&equals;"265"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; type&equals;"pubmine"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; data-siteid&equals;"111265417"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; data-section&equals;"2">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;amp-ad>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div><p>Italy has the largest number of coronavirus cases outside China&comma; where the outbreak started&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Here&comma; we look at factors that might have contributed to that&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><&excl;--Ads1--><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><strong>– How bad is the situation in Italy&quest;<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Italy’s total number of confirmed coronavirus cases is creeping towards 10&comma;000&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Monday saw another 1&comma;807 cases&comma; bringing the total to 9&comma;172&period; The death toll rose to 463&comma; and the country’s fatality rate is 5&percnt;&comma; above the 3&percnt;-4&percnt; estimates elsewhere&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<div class&equals;"ad-container"><&sol;div>&NewLine;<p><strong>– Coronavirus may have gone undetected in the country since late January<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The first person to test positive in the north of Italy who had not been to China was confirmed to have coronavirus on February 21&period; By that stage the 38-year-old man had already infected his wife and several doctors&comma; nurses and patients at the hospital where he had attended with flu-like symptoms three days earlier&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Experts now think the virus may have been present and spreading in northern Italy since at least the second half of January&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><&excl;--Ads2--><&sol;p>&NewLine;<div id&equals;"div-gpt-ad-incontent-1" data-google-query-id&equals;"CJ34wNKZkOgCFRdlFQgdFfMNLA">&NewLine;<p><strong>– Italy has a high population of older people<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Dr Giovanni Rezza&comma; head of infectious disease at the National Institutes of Health&comma; has attributed Italy’s high death rate to the fact that the country has the world’s oldest population after Japan&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Most of those who have died are elderly with previous health issues&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>For that very reason the high death rate is not surprising&comma; said Professor Marina Della Giusta from the department of economics at the University of Reading&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;The little we know so far of this virus is that it has much higher mortality rates for older people&comma; at least that’s what the Chinese data suggests so far&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;Italy is the oldest country in Europe probably so that won’t be surprising&period; The demographic affected is way bigger than it would be in lots of other places&period;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><strong>– The country has a sociable&comma; outdoor culture<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Italians generally enjoy the great outdoors and have a tactile culture&comma; said Prof Della Giusta&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>She said&colon; &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;The interpersonal physical space in Italy is a lot shorter than it is in the UK&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;Their habit is to kiss each other when you say hello&period; There is higher physical contact anyway around the Mediterranean between people and people are outdoors more at this time of year than they are in other parts of Europe&comma; where it’s still a bit colder&period;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;<figure id&equals;"attachment&lowbar;151505" aria-describedby&equals;"caption-attachment-151505" style&equals;"width&colon; 600px" class&equals;"wp-caption aligncenter"><img class&equals;"size-full wp-image-151505" src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;londonglossy&period;com&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2020&sol;03&sol;6492EC4F-3781-43BE-AB05-00896B75AA97&period;jpeg" alt&equals;"" width&equals;"600" height&equals;"400" &sol;><figcaption id&equals;"caption-attachment-151505" class&equals;"wp-caption-text">A traveler wears a mask as she fills out a form at a check point set up by border police inside Rome’s Termini train station<&sol;figcaption><&sol;figure>&NewLine;<p><strong>– Movement between regions did not stop when schools were shut<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Professor Della Giusta&comma; who is originally from the Piedmont region in the north-west of the country&comma; said many people did not take self-isolation measures very seriously when schools were first closed in northern regions a few weeks ago&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;When schools got shut in Lombardy a lot of people just took their kids and went off on holiday to their holiday homes in the mountains and at the seaside in the other regions&period; They thought they were making their kids safe by taking them away&comma; but this kind of behaviour is really very damaging&period;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><strong>– Will the latest&comma; more extreme measures work&quest;<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Some experts have described the country-wide lockdown as not only unprecedented&comma; but also unsustainable&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><&excl;--Ads3--><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Professor John Edmunds from the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine said it will probably only have a short-term impact&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;If they can’t be sustained for the long term&comma; all they are likely to do is delay the epidemic for a while&comma;” he said&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>But Prof Della Giusta said Italy’s current measures are &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;excellent” and &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;entirely appropriate”&period; She said the government had reacted too slowly initially&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div style&equals;"padding-bottom&colon;15px&semi;" class&equals;"wordads-tag" data-slot-type&equals;"belowpost">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div id&equals;"atatags-dynamic-belowpost-68ed3b12f1e8d">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<script type&equals;"text&sol;javascript">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;window&period;getAdSnippetCallback &equals; function &lpar;&rpar; &lbrace;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;if &lpar; false &equals;&equals;&equals; &lpar; window&period;isWatlV1 &quest;&quest; false &rpar; &rpar; &lbrace;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&sol;&sol; Use Aditude scripts&period;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;window&period;tudeMappings &equals; 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