		<div class="wpcnt">
			<div class="wpa">
				<span class="wpa-about">Advertisements</span>
				<div class="u top_amp">
							<amp-ad width="300" height="265"
		 type="pubmine"
		 data-siteid="111265417"
		 data-section="1">
		</amp-ad>
				</div>
			</div>
		</div><p>Defeat for the Conservatives in Thursday’s by-election in Brecon &; Radnorshire would see the Government’s working majority in Parliament shrink to just one.</p>
<p>There are currently 320 MPs who – on paper – would back the Government in a crunch vote in the House of Commons – 310 Tories and 10 members of the DUP.</p>
<p>The DUP agreed to support the Conservatives in certain key votes, such as confidence motions and Budgets, as part of a deal reached in the aftermath of the 2017 general election.</p>
<p>Set against this combined total of 320 MPs are 318 MPs from all other parties.</p>
<p>The seat of Brecon &; Radnorshire is currently vacant, so whoever wins the by-election will increase by one either the Government’s tally of MPs or those of the opposition.</p>
<p>The Liberal Democrats are favourites to win the seat, and, were they to do so, the opposition tally would increase from 318 to 319.</p>
<p>With the Tories and DUP unchanged on a combined total of 320, this would reduce the Government’s majority from two to one.</p>
<p>These totals do not include Sinn Féin’s seven MPs, who do not take their seats in the Commons, and the Speaker and three Deputy Speakers, who do not vote.</p>
<p>The Liberal Democrats need a swing of 9.8% to take the Welsh seat from the Conservatives.</p>
<p>It is the sort of swing which, were it to happen at a general election, could see the party pick up around a dozen seats from the Tories.</p>
<p>The Lib Dems held the seat of Brecon &; Radnorshire from 1997 to 2015, since when it has been held by the Tories.</p>
<p>At the 2017 general election, the Conservatives’ majority was 8,038.</p>
<p>The party won 49% of the vote in 2017, compared with 29% for the Lib Dems, 18% for Labour, 3% for Plaid Cymru and 1% for UKIP.</p>
<p>In this week’s by-election, Plaid Cymru is not standing and has instead urged its supporters to vote for the Lib Dems.</p>
<p>The Green Party has done the same.</p>
<p>Both parties have stated that they want to try to maximise the chance of success for the Lib Dems.</p>
<p>The result of the by-election is expected to be declared at around 3am on Friday morning.</p>
<p>Here are the six candidates standing in the by-election:</p>
<ul>
<li>Chris Davies (Conservative)</li>
<li>Tom Davies (Labour)</li>
<li>Jane Dodds (Liberal Democrats)</li>
<li>Des Parkinson (Brexit)</li>
<li>Liz Phillips (Ukip)</li>
<li>Lady Lily The Pink (Loony)</li>
</ul>
			<div style="padding-bottom:15px;" class="wordads-tag" data-slot-type="belowpost">
				<div id="atatags-dynamic-belowpost-68ed352ed1853">
					<script type="text/javascript">
						window.getAdSnippetCallback = function () {
							if ( false === ( window.isWatlV1 ?? false ) ) {
								// Use Aditude scripts.
								window.tudeMappings = window.tudeMappings || [];
								window.tudeMappings.push( {
									divId: 'atatags-dynamic-belowpost-68ed352ed1853',
									format: 'belowpost',
								} );
							}
						}

						if ( document.readyState === 'loading' ) {
							document.addEventListener( 'DOMContentLoaded', window.getAdSnippetCallback );
						} else {
							window.getAdSnippetCallback();
						}
					</script>
				</div>
			</div>
Discover more from London Glossy Post
Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.
