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		</div><p>The European Union has predicted that three million more migrants could arrive in the 28-nation bloc by the end of next year.</p>
<p>More than 700,000 people have come to Europe seeking sanctuary or jobs so far this year, overwhelming reception centres and border authorities.</p>
<p>EU autumn economic forecasts released on Thursday show that based on current migrant entries and a “technical assumption” about future flows, arrival rates are unlikely to slow before 2017.</p>
<p>The European Commission said that “overall, an additional 3 million persons is assumed to arrive in the EU over the forecast period”.</p>
<p>On Thursday, Greek prime minister Alexis Tsipras was a first-hand witness, seeing migrants and refugees reaching the Greek island of Lesbos by dinghy as his motorcade travelled from the local airport to a new registration facility.</p>
<p>“We realised that is a criminal process being carried out by the smugglers who cram refugees onto vessels that are not boats, but makeshift inflatables,” he said. “What’s happening in the Aegean Sea is a crime.”</p>
<p>The flow of migrants into Greece’s mainland and beyond was turning to a trickle on Thursday, however, as a ferry strike entered its fourth day and trapped thousands of people on the eastern Aegean islands.</p>
<p>Police in the Idomeni border area said 850 people had crossed into Macedonia between Wednesday and Thursday morning. Numbers usually range from 4,000 to 8,000 people per day.</p>
<p>The European Commission said the refugee crisis has resulted in additional government spending but that it could have a small, positive impact on European economies within a few years.</p>
<p>But the EU said the real impact on national budgets is difficult to predict, given a lack of complete and reliable data about exactly who is arriving in the bloc and whether they are staying.</p>
<p>Most people are arriving in Europe through Italy and Greece, while Hungary and Austria have been affected by heavy migrant flows. Germany and Sweden are also feeling the impact.</p>
<p>Those nations, among others, want the EU to apply its budget rules with flexibility, taking into account Europe’s biggest refugee emergency in well over half a century, and avoid reprimanding member states for excessive spending and deficits.</p>
<p>The Commission said on Thursday that Sweden, which has the highest share of refugees per capita, is likely to feel the economic impact most, perhaps 0.5% of its gross domestic product this year.</p>
<p>Other hard-hit migrant transit and destination countries are likely to see an impact of 0.2% of their GDPs in 2015.</p>
<p>While acknowledging the potential short-term impact, the Commission did not clearly state whether it would be flexible on budget policy.</p>
<p>But a senior EU official said on Wednesday that some flexibility might be allowed “taking into account well-specified costs and for a limited period of time”.</p>
<p>“This has been an asymmetrical shock for some member states,” said the official.</p>
<p>As long as any help is “one-off, shortish-term”, members of the euro single currency bloc would agree to it, he said.</p>
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