Jerome Powell calls for united response and warns of prolonged recession

&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"wpcnt">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"wpa">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<span class&equals;"wpa-about">Advertisements<&sol;span>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"u top&lowbar;amp">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<amp-ad width&equals;"300" height&equals;"265"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; type&equals;"pubmine"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; data-siteid&equals;"111265417"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; data-section&equals;"1">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;amp-ad>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div><p>Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell warned of the threat of a prolonged recession resulting from the viral outbreak and urged Congress and the White House to act further to prevent long-lasting economic damage&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The Fed and Congress have taken far-reaching steps to try to counter what is likely to be a severe downturn resulting from the widespread shutdown of the US economy&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>But Mr Powell cautioned that numerous bankruptcies among small businesses and extended unemployment for many people remain a serious risk&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><i>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;We ought to do what we can to avoid these outcomes&comma;”<&sol;i> Mr Powell said&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Additional rescue aid from government spending or tax policies&comma; though costly&comma; would be &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;<i>worth it if it helps avoid long-term economic damage and leaves us with a stronger recovery”<&sol;i>&comma; he said&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><&excl;--Ads1--><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Mr Powell spoke a day after House Speaker Nancy Pelosi&comma; a California Democrat&comma; proposed a three trillion US dollar aid package that would direct money to state and local governments&comma; households&comma; and health-care workers&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>This money would come on top of roughly three trillion US dollars in earlier financial assistance that the government has provided&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The Fed itself has also intervened by slashing interest rates to near zero and creating numerous emergency lending programmes&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Yet Trump administration officials have said they want to first see how previous aid packages affect the economy&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>And Republican leaders in Congress have expressed scepticism about allowing significant more spending right now&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell&comma; a Kentucky Republican&comma; said there is no &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;<i>urgency<&sol;i>” to act&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Mr Powell&comma; though&comma; made clear his concern that a recession may last long enough to cause extensive damage to the economy and make a recovery weaker and slower&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>In such a scenario&comma; unemployed workers would lose skills and their connections in the job market&comma; making it harder for them to find new employment&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>And with many small businesses bankrupt&comma; fewer companies would be available to hire the jobless&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><i>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;Deeper and longer recessions can leave behind lasting damage to the productive capacity of the economy&comma;” <&sol;i>the chairman warned in his prepared remarks before holding an online discussion with the Peterson Institute for International Economics&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><i>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;Avoidable household and business insolvencies can weigh on growth for years to come&period;”<&sol;i><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><&excl;--Ads2--><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Mr Powell’s sobering warning about the risks facing the economy weighed down Wall Street on Wednesday&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><i>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;It was a soothing tone from Powell saying the Fed will do what they need to do&comma; but it was also sombre in that basically the Fed can’t do everything&comma;”<&sol;i> said Willie Delwiche&comma; investment strategist at Baird&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The Standard &amp&semi; Poor’s 500 stock index was down a sharp 2&period;4&percnt; as of 3pm Eastern time&comma; with the deepest losses hitting stocks that most need a healthy economy for their profits to grow&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Mr Powell said the Fed would <i>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;continue to use our tools to their fullest”<&sol;i> until the viral outbreak subsides&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>He gave no hint of what the Fed’s next steps might be&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>But Mr Powell shot down the idea of cutting the Fed’s short-term interest rate&comma; which is now near zero&comma; into negative territory&comma; as central banks in Europe and Japan have done&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Such a move would require banks to pay interest on cash reserves that they hold at the Fed&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>That would be intended to encourage them to lend the money instead&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Yet negative rates appear to have done little to stimulate the economies of the countries that have adopted them&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<blockquote class&equals;"twitter-tweet" data-width&equals;"550" data-dnt&equals;"true">&NewLine;<p lang&equals;"en" dir&equals;"ltr">When the so-called &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;rich guys” speak negatively about the market&comma; you must always remember that some are betting big against it&comma; and make a lot of money if it goes down&period; Then they go positive&comma; get big publicity&comma; and make it going up&period; They get you both ways&period; Barely legal&quest;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&mdash&semi; Donald J&period; Trump &lpar;&commat;realDonaldTrump&rpar; <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;twitter&period;com&sol;realDonaldTrump&sol;status&sol;1260574760930545666&quest;ref&lowbar;src&equals;twsrc&percnt;5Etfw">May 13&comma; 2020<&sol;a><&sol;p><&sol;blockquote>&NewLine;<p><script async src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;platform&period;twitter&period;com&sol;widgets&period;js" charset&equals;"utf-8"><&sol;script><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>President Donald Trump&comma; who has frequently expressed his desire for the Fed to adopt negative rates&comma; tweeted on Tuesday that &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;<i>as long as other countries are receiving the benefits of Negative Rates”<&sol;i>&comma; the US should also implement them&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><i>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;I know there are fans of the policy&comma;”<&sol;i> Mr Powell said&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>But <i>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;this is not something that we’re looking at&period;”<&sol;i><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The chairman argued that negative rates would likely hurt the banking industry&comma; and he noted that all Fed policymakers had expressed opposition to negative rates during their last discussion of them in October&comma; a rare show of unanimity among all 17 officials&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>He repeated his previous warnings that the Fed can lend money to solvent companies to help carry them through the crisis but that a longer downturn would likely bankrupt some previously healthy companies without more help from the government&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Mr Powell’s downbeat view contrasted with a speech Monday by Charles Evans&comma; president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Mr Evans sketched a more upbeat outlook and suggested that <i>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;it’s reasonable to assume a legitimate return to growth in the second half”<&sol;i> of this year and into 2021&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>And Tom Barkin&comma; head of the Richmond Fed&comma; suggested Tuesday in an interview with the Wall Street Journal that the economy has &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;<i>bottomed<&sol;i>” and is likely <i>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;headed up”<&sol;i>&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Mr Powell&comma; in his remarks Wednesday&comma; underscored some of the painful consequences of the recession&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Among people who had been working in February&comma; nearly 40&percnt; of households earning less than &dollar;40&comma;000 a year lost a job in March&comma; Mr Powell said&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Last week&comma; the government reported that the unemployment rate soared to 14&period;7&percnt; in April&comma; the highest rate since the Great Depression&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>And there are roughly 30 million Americans out of work&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Mr Powell said the economy could eventually return to where it was before the pandemic&comma; with unemployment at a 50-year low of 3&period;5&percnt;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><i>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;It’ll take some time to get back to where we were&comma;”<&sol;i> he said&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><i>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;I have every reason to think we should get back there&period;”<&sol;i><&sol;p>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div style&equals;"padding-bottom&colon;15px&semi;" class&equals;"wordads-tag" data-slot-type&equals;"belowpost">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div id&equals;"atatags-dynamic-belowpost-68eccb688c999">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<script type&equals;"text&sol;javascript">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;window&period;getAdSnippetCallback &equals; 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