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		</div><p><a href="http://londonglossy.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/pint-to-cost-30p-more-experts-warn.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full" title="The price of a pint of beer could rise by as much as 10 per cent, or 30p, experts have predicted" src="http://londonglossy.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/min-pint-to-cost-30p-more-experts-warn.jpg" alt="The price of a pint of beer could rise by as much as 10 per cent, or 30p, experts have predicted"/></a></p>
<p>The price of a pint of beer could rise by as much as 10%, or 30p, as the soaring cost of barley adds to increases in duty and VAT, experts have predicted.</p>
<p>The cost is likely to increase by 4.25% to 6.5% this year due to the duty escalator alone, which increases by the rate of inflation plus 2%, The Grocer reported.</p>
<p>But the trade magazine said other costs &#8220;ignored&#8221; by the Government in its calculations included ingredients, packaging and distribution.</p>
<p>Diesel was up 35% year on year, cardboard costs had also risen 35% and other major ingredients associated with brewing, such as barley and wheat, had almost doubled in price.</p>
<p>Experts were predicting that British barley prices in particular &#8211; already up 90% in 2010 &#8211; would rise even higher as global barley production was set to fall by 43% on last year&#8217;s volumes to a four-year low as farmers switched to more lucrative crops such as wheat.</p>
<p>Campaigners criticised the Government&#8217;s announcement this week to ban the sale of alcohol below cost price, saying it would not go far enough to resolve the problem of binge-drinking.</p>
<p>The ban was promised as part of efforts to tackle alcohol-related crime and disorder which costs the taxpayer up to £13 billion each year.</p>
<p>But the much-touted move will see cost price defined as just duty plus VAT and will have little if any impact on cut-price supermarket deals, campaigners said.</p>
<p>Mintec analyst Robert Miles told The Grocer that as the Government attempted to reduce binge-drinking by setting a higher price on alcohol, &#8220;commodity price rises might get there first, and force prices higher for all concerned&#8221;.</p>
<p>Brewers and pub chains also fear that while the hikes are certain to hit the on-trade, where the average pint has risen by 2% and now exceeds £3 for the first time, there is additional concern that supermarkets will continue to subsidise alcohol, where prices have risen by just 1% in the last year &#8211; according to price tracking website BrandView.co.uk.</p>
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