Weakened Italian economy forecast to take major hit from virus outbreak

&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"wpcnt">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"wpa">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<span class&equals;"wpa-about">Advertisements<&sol;span>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"u top&lowbar;amp">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<amp-ad width&equals;"300" height&equals;"265"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; type&equals;"pubmine"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; data-siteid&equals;"111265417"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; data-section&equals;"2">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;amp-ad>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div><p>Italy’s already weak economy is said to be taking a massive hit from the country’s coronavirus outbreak – which is the biggest in Europe – as foreigners cancel visits and reject Italian-made products&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Entire towns are quarantined in the north&comma; the heart of Italy’s manufacturing and financial industries&comma; and airlines have cut back on flights to the country&comma; meaning millions fewer travellers are expected&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><&excl;--Ads1--><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The result is losses of billions among the nation’s hotels&comma; restaurants and popular tourist sites and many others&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The turmoil is expected to push Italy back into recession and weigh more broadly on the European economy&comma; with trade-focused countries like Germany&comma; France and Britain also struggling with the global disruption to supply chains and travel&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<figure id&equals;"attachment&lowbar;151268" aria-describedby&equals;"caption-attachment-151268" style&equals;"width&colon; 600px" class&equals;"wp-caption aligncenter"><img src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;londonglossy&period;com&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2020&sol;03&sol;D5D43AEB-9DCD-4601-ABE4-5476B78CCE63&period;jpeg" alt&equals;"" width&equals;"600" height&equals;"400" class&equals;"size-full wp-image-151268" &sol;><figcaption id&equals;"caption-attachment-151268" class&equals;"wp-caption-text">A seller waits for customers at the Campo de Fiori street market in Rome<&sol;figcaption><&sol;figure>&NewLine;<p>Stefania Stea has two hotels in Venice&comma; where the recent cancellation of the annual carnival emptied the city in a single afternoon and sent occupation rates plunging to an unheard of 1-2&percnt;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Ms Stea&comma; who is vice-president of the Venice hoteliers association&comma; is tallying cancellations worth 7&comma;000-10&comma;000 euro &lpar;£6&comma;000-8&comma;500&rpar; a day for her 39 rooms – which are all currently empty&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>She said&colon; &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;I am getting cancellations through to June&period; The only reservations I am getting are for Christmas or New Year’s Eve&comma; with people hoping for a deal&period;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><&excl;--Ads2--><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Italy’s economy is forecast to shrink this quarter&comma; with Bocconi university economist Francesco Daveri predicting a 0&period;3&percnt; contraction&period; That would match a surprise shrinkage in the last quarter of 2019 and would put the country in a technical recession&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The country has already shed 4&percnt; of GDP in back-to-back recessions in the first two decades of the century&comma; and recovery has been stalled for the last two years&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Banks are still trying to burn off a pile of bad loans left over from the financial crisis a decade ago and the government’s public debt load – the highest in Europe after Greece – limits the country’s ability to significantly ramp up spending to help the economy if needed&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<figure id&equals;"attachment&lowbar;151269" aria-describedby&equals;"caption-attachment-151269" style&equals;"width&colon; 600px" class&equals;"wp-caption aligncenter"><img src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;londonglossy&period;com&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2020&sol;03&sol;5A67E5A8-5714-4AF1-9D8C-F70CE44FF1D3&period;jpeg" alt&equals;"" width&equals;"600" height&equals;"400" class&equals;"size-full wp-image-151269" &sol;><figcaption id&equals;"caption-attachment-151269" class&equals;"wp-caption-text">Empty tables line the usually busy streets of Rome<&sol;figcaption><&sol;figure>&NewLine;<p>The tourism and luxury industries were the first&comma; but not last&comma; to sound the alarm&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Tourism officials are projecting 32 million fewer foreign visitors and a loss of 7&period;4 billion euro &lpar;£6&period;3 billion&rpar; in the second quarter alone&comma; before the arrival of the make-or-break summer travel season&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Even before the virus arrived in Italy&comma; luxury fashion officials projected a 2&percnt; first-half contraction&period; That was based solely on weaker spending by Chinese consumers&comma; who are the biggest luxury buyers in the world accounting for 35&percnt; of global sales&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Now the virus&comma; which began in China&comma; is discouraging well-heeled shopping tourists to Milan’s MonteNapoleone district and Rome’s via Condotti&comma; while spreading to the US and European neighbours&comma; key export markets&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Making things more complicated is a lack of knowledge about the virus’s true risks and whether it is spread&comma; for example&comma; through exported goods&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><&excl;--Ads3--><&sol;p>&NewLine;<figure id&equals;"attachment&lowbar;151267" aria-describedby&equals;"caption-attachment-151267" style&equals;"width&colon; 600px" class&equals;"wp-caption aligncenter"><img src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;londonglossy&period;com&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2020&sol;03&sol;900ACA9B-F929-4803-99B7-1AF9229B0B8A&period;jpeg" alt&equals;"" width&equals;"600" height&equals;"400" class&equals;"size-full wp-image-151267" &sol;><figcaption id&equals;"caption-attachment-151267" class&equals;"wp-caption-text">Shop assistants await customers in the Monte Napoleone shopping street in Milan<&sol;figcaption><&sol;figure>&NewLine;<p>Industry groups and policymakers have signalled incidents of importers of Italian goods in other EU countries seeking additional certification that the goods are virus-free&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Foreign Minister Luigi Di Maio this week protested against what he called indiscriminate limits on Italian exports&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;It is not acceptable to block Italian goods or ask for a certificate of guarantee beyond what exists in commercial agreements&comma;” he said&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;Merchandise does not have anything to do with the virus&period;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div style&equals;"padding-bottom&colon;15px&semi;" class&equals;"wordads-tag" data-slot-type&equals;"belowpost">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div id&equals;"atatags-dynamic-belowpost-68ed5d0195e7c">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<script type&equals;"text&sol;javascript">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;window&period;getAdSnippetCallback &equals; 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