What next for Theresa May and the Withdrawal Agreement?

&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"wpcnt">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"wpa">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<span class&equals;"wpa-about">Advertisements<&sol;span>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"u top&lowbar;amp">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<amp-ad width&equals;"300" height&equals;"265"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; type&equals;"pubmine"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; data-siteid&equals;"111265417"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; data-section&equals;"2">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;amp-ad>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div><p>Theresa May survived a no-confidence vote in her leadership but her Brexit plans appear to have reached an impasse&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The arithmetic suggests her current blueprint will struggle to get a majority in the House of Commons&comma; while EU leaders did not give the Conservative leader the assurances she hoped would help ease the passage of the bill&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><strong>What are the options now&quest;<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><strong>– The EU changes its stance<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The backstop in Ireland is the stickiest of sticking points – the EU says it will not drop it and Brexiteer MPs are refusing to support any deal which does not contain an exit clause&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>European leaders said they would do their utmost so that the backstop – intended to ensure there is no return to a hard border between Northern Ireland and the Republic – would not be needed&comma; but they insisted they could not re-open the terms of the Withdrawal Agreement&period; But without a legally binding promise on the backstop&comma; the doubters will remain&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><strong>– Norway for now<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>A softer route to EU withdrawal&comma; which was proposed by Tory backbencher Nick Boles and backed by some Labour MPs&comma; would see the UK take on temporary membership of the European Economic Area &lpar;EEA&rpar; and European Free Trade Association &lpar;Efta&rpar; alongside countries like Norway and Iceland while a future trade deal is negotiated&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Efta membership would allow the UK to remain within a common market area with the EU and continue existing customs arrangements&comma; while pulling out of common agricultural and fishing policies&period; It would solve the border problem with Ireland&comma; but critics say it would mean accepting freedom of movement for EU citizens&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><strong>– No deal<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The staunchest Brexiteers&comma; like Jacob Rees-Mogg and John Redwood&comma; say Britain has nothing to fear from EU withdrawal without a deal&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>This would involve the UK falling back on World Trade Organisation rules which provide baseline requirements for tariff and customs arrangements between countries outside trading blocs like the EU&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Critics say this would result in high tariffs on many goods and exclusion from existing Europe-wide systems in areas like aviation&comma; food safety and credit card payments&comma; with a damaging impact on the UK economy&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>But advocates of no deal insist the UK could offer low- or zero-tariff trade to partners and benefit from swift FTAs around the world while saving the £39 billion &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;divorce” payment to the EU&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><strong>– Second referendum<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Supporters of the People’s Vote campaign want a referendum on any withdrawal deal – or no deal – with the option of remaining in the EU on the ballot paper&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>They argue that voters in the 2016 referendum which delivered a 52-48 per cent majority for Leave did not have the full information about what Brexit would involve&comma; and should have a chance to make a decision based on a clearer understanding of the terms on offer&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>EU leaders have indicated they would be happy to accept Britain staying on as a member&comma; and campaigners hope Brussels would be willing to put the Brexit process on hold to give time for a public vote to be held&comma; probably in late spring&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Opponents of a second referendum warn that faith in democracy will be undermined if the Government does not deliver on the outcome of what was the UK’s largest-ever ballot&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><strong>– Extend Article 50<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The letter which triggered the process for Britain leaving the EU was delivered on March 29&comma; 2017&comma; starting a two-year process of departure&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Mrs May alluded to the extension of Article 50 when faced with a vote of no-confidence&comma; saying any successor’s first job would be to delay Brexit&comma; but any agreement to lengthen the process would have to be agreed unanimously&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Equally&comma; the European Court of Justice ruled this week that Britain could rescind Article 50 if it wanted&comma; however it is unclear whether Mrs May would receive political backing for such a move without taking the idea to the electorate&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div style&equals;"padding-bottom&colon;15px&semi;" class&equals;"wordads-tag" data-slot-type&equals;"belowpost">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div id&equals;"atatags-dynamic-belowpost-68edaa745a0e9">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<script type&equals;"text&sol;javascript">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;window&period;getAdSnippetCallback &equals; function &lpar;&rpar; &lbrace;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;if &lpar; false &equals;&equals;&equals; &lpar; window&period;isWatlV1 &quest;&quest; false &rpar; &rpar; &lbrace;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&sol;&sol; Use Aditude scripts&period;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;window&period;tudeMappings &equals; window&period;tudeMappings &vert;&vert; 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