Why Super Tuesday could be a key moment in Democratic primaries

&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"wpcnt">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"wpa">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<span class&equals;"wpa-about">Advertisements<&sol;span>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"u top&lowbar;amp">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<amp-ad width&equals;"300" height&equals;"265"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; type&equals;"pubmine"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; data-siteid&equals;"111265417"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; data-section&equals;"2">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;amp-ad>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div><p>Tuesday is the biggest day of the primary calendar&comma; when 14 states from the Atlantic to the Pacific vote on the Democratic presidential nominee&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The US’s two most populous states&comma; California and Texas&comma; and nearly one-third of all the delegates at July’s Democratic National Convention are up for grabs&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Here are some key questions ahead of Super Tuesday&colon;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h4><strong>– Can Bernie Sanders recapture the narrative&quest;<&sol;strong><&sol;h4>&NewLine;<p>Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders has long promised that he could substantially expand the electorate beyond traditional Democratic voters&comma; but that has not happened in the first four contests&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Super Tuesday represents his biggest chance to prove his case&period; He is far better financed and organised than former vice president Joe Biden&comma; who trounced Mr Sanders in South Carolina on Saturday&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<blockquote class&equals;"twitter-tweet" data-width&equals;"550" data-dnt&equals;"true">&NewLine;<p lang&equals;"en" dir&equals;"ltr">More than 13 million American children live in poverty&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Our childhood poverty rate is among the highest of any major country on Earth&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>In my view&comma; we should feed the children first&comma; educate the children first&comma; and worry about the military-industrial complex later&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&mdash&semi; Bernie Sanders &lpar;&commat;SenSanders&rpar; <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;twitter&period;com&sol;SenSanders&sol;status&sol;1234475065242079233&quest;ref&lowbar;src&equals;twsrc&percnt;5Etfw">March 2&comma; 2020<&sol;a><&sol;p><&sol;blockquote>&NewLine;<p><script async src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;platform&period;twitter&period;com&sol;widgets&period;js" charset&equals;"utf-8"><&sol;script><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>With five major candidates running&comma; it has been impossible for anyone to claim a clear majority&comma; but Mr Sanders’ durable base has given him a crucial plurality of the vote&comma; and&comma; more important&comma; a small lead in delegates&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Mr Sanders needs as many delegates as possible because his opponents argue the convention itself should decide the nominee should no one secure a clear majority&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Tuesday represents Mr Sanders’ best chance to build a durable advantage in the race&period;  And after Tuesday&comma; the terrain shifts to states that are not as favourable to Mr Sanders&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><&excl;--Ads3--><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><strong>– Can Joe Biden emerge as the &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;stop Sanders” candidate&quest;<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Mr Biden dramatically under-performed in Iowa and New Hampshire&comma; part of a collapse among white voters that allowed Mr Sanders to vault into the lead&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>But Mr Biden regained his footing in South Carolina&comma; propelled by the overwhelming support of black voters&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>That aided Mr Biden’s case that the candidate who prevails among these base voters will win the nomination&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Mr Biden’s campaign hopes that allows him to vastly overperform his polls for Super Tuesday and consolidate the splintered anti-Sanders factions in the Democratic Party&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The hope in the former vice president’s camp is that it becomes effectively a two-person race after Tuesday&comma; which may give him an advantage in upcoming states like Florida&comma; Illinois and Pennsylvania&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><&excl;--Ads6--><&sol;p>&NewLine;<h4><strong>– Which candidates can stay viable&quest;<&sol;strong><&sol;h4>&NewLine;<p>Remember 15&percnt;&period; That is the share of votes a candidate has to get to win delegates in primary elections&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>With five Democrats left in the race – Elizabeth Warren and Tom Steyer are also competing&comma; while Amy Klobuchar has dropped out – there is a real threat that only one or two will actually grab delegates&comma; with the rest splitting the remaining vote in the low teens&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The risks of that diminished with the exit of former South Bend&comma; Indiana&comma; Mayor Pete Buttigieg from the race Sunday night&comma; but they certainly did not go away&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>That would be a dream scenario for Mr Sanders&comma; who in some states could grab a far greater proportion of available delegates than his vote share would represent&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Some polls have shown it as a distinct possibility in delegate-rich California&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h4><strong>– Does Michael Bloomberg’s big bet pay off&quest;<&sol;strong><&sol;h4>&NewLine;<p>Former New York Mayor Mike Bloomberg bet more than a half billion dollars on Super Tuesday&comma; and we get to see if it was well spent&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Mr Bloomberg is a billionaire&comma; and rather than competing in the first four primary states&comma; he decided to spend a huge sum of money on advertisements and campaign organisations in the 14 states voting Tuesday&comma; as well as on other ones voting in the coming weeks&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>But since he first appeared on the debate stage&comma; his polls plummeted and now he runs the risk of falling into the sub-15&percnt; zone in a number of states&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Even if he does not&comma; will Mr Bloomberg’s ultimate impact be to fragment the anti-Sanders vote further and help pave the way for the self-proclaimed democratic socialist whom he says he got in the race to stop&quest;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<h4><strong>– How does the California count affect the race&quest;<&sol;strong><&sol;h4>&NewLine;<p>California is different&period; It is the biggest prize on the board Tuesday with more than 400 delegates at stake&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>But California has an unusual voting system that counts all ballots cast Tuesday&comma; even if they were only put in a mailbox that day&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>It can take weeks to count the entire vote&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>That could help or hurt Mr Sanders&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>His campaign has been investing heavily in the state&comma; trying to encourage his supporters to send in early ballots&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div style&equals;"padding-bottom&colon;15px&semi;" class&equals;"wordads-tag" data-slot-type&equals;"belowpost">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div id&equals;"atatags-dynamic-belowpost-68cd465bb981d">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<script type&equals;"text&sol;javascript">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;window&period;getAdSnippetCallback &equals; function &lpar;&rpar; &lbrace;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;if &lpar; false &equals;&equals;&equals; &lpar; window&period;isWatlV1 &quest;&quest; false &rpar; &rpar; &lbrace;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&sol;&sol; Use Aditude scripts&period;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;window&period;tudeMappings &equals; window&period;tudeMappings &vert;&vert; &lbrack;&rsqb;&semi;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;window&period;tudeMappings&period;push&lpar; &lbrace;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;divId&colon; 'atatags-dynamic-belowpost-68cd465bb981d'&comma;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;format&colon; 'belowpost'&comma;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&rcub; &rpar;&semi;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&rcub;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&rcub;&NewLine;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;if &lpar; document&period;readyState &equals;&equals;&equals; 'loading' &rpar; &lbrace;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;document&period;addEventListener&lpar; 'DOMContentLoaded'&comma; window&period;getAdSnippetCallback &rpar;&semi;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&rcub; else &lbrace;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;window&period;getAdSnippetCallback&lpar;&rpar;&semi;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&rcub;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;script>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div>


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