Double dip fears as economy shrinks

&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"wpcnt">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"wpa">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<span class&equals;"wpa-about">Advertisements<&sol;span>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"u top&lowbar;amp">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<amp-ad width&equals;"300" height&equals;"265"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; type&equals;"pubmine"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; data-siteid&equals;"111265417"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; data-section&equals;"2">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;amp-ad>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div><p><a href&equals;"http&colon;&sol;&sol;londonglossy&period;com&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2011&sol;01&sol;double-dip-fears-as-economy-shrinks&period;jpg"><img class&equals;"alignnone size-full" title&equals;"Chancellor George Osborne said a plans for fiscal tightening would not be 'blown off course by bad weather'" src&equals;"http&colon;&sol;&sol;londonglossy&period;com&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2011&sol;01&sol;min-double-dip-fears-as-economy-shrinks&period;jpg" alt&equals;"Chancellor George Osborne said a plans for fiscal tightening would not be 'blown off course by bad weather'"&sol;><&sol;a><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Fears of a double-dip recession in the UK heightened after official figures revealed the economy unexpectedly shrank in the fourth quarter&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The severe weather last month was blamed for the shock 0&period;5&percnt; plunge in gross domestic product &lpar;GDP&rpar; between October and December&comma; the Office for National Statistics &lpar;ONS&rpar; said&comma; and was driven by a decline in the key services sector &&num;8211&semi; which makes up more than 75&percnt; of the total economy&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Analysts warned the surprise decline &&num;8211&semi; the first since the third quarter of 2009 &&num;8211&semi; seriously damaged prospects for the economy as it takes the strain of the Government&&num;8217&semi;s sharp austerity measures&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Chancellor George Osborne&comma; however&comma; remained defiant and said the coalition would not allow his plans for fiscal tightening to be &&num;8220&semi;blown off course by bad weather&&num;8221&semi;&period; The City was alarmed by the figures as the FTSE 100 Index and pound both dropped&comma; while pressure mounted on Bank of England governor Mervyn King&comma; who is tasked with taming high inflation and supporting growth&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Economists were expecting growth of between 0&period;2&percnt; and 0&period;6&percnt; in the fourth quarter but warned that the adverse weather made it difficult to provide accurate forecasts&period; Even without the Arctic conditions&comma; the ONS said growth in the fourth quarter would have been flat quarter-on-quarter&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The contraction in GDP shows the economy has weakened just as the Chancellor rolls out his £81 billion package of spending cuts&comma; which include hundreds of thousands of public sector job losses&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Economists warned the fall in GDP output has shaken confidence in the ability of the private sector to pick up the expected slack in the economy and hold off a double-dip recession &&num;8211&semi; defined as two consecutive quarters of economic contraction&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Jonathan Loynes&comma; chief European economist at Capital Economics&comma; described the figures as &&num;8220&semi;shockingly bad&&num;8221&semi;&period; He said&colon; &&num;8220&semi;Although heavily affected by the weather&comma; the UK&&num;8217&semi;s shockingly-bad fourth quarter GDP figures &&num;8211&semi; showing a 0&period;5&percnt; quarterly contraction &&num;8211&semi; raise serious concerns over whether the economy is in a strong-enough position to withstand the fiscal tightening&period;&&num;8221&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Mr Loynes expects the economy to rebound in the current quarter&comma; as it did after poor weather in the fourth quarter of 2009&comma; but other adverse forces&comma; not least the impact of the latest VAT hike&comma; could limit the size of the bounce&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>But Britain&&num;8217&semi;s creaking public finances received some relief as official figures revealed public borrowing increased by a lower-than-expected £16&period;8 billion in December&period; The figure&comma; which excludes financial interventions by the Government&comma; was a marked decrease on the £21 billion borrowed a year earlier&comma; the ONS said&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div style&equals;"padding-bottom&colon;15px&semi;" class&equals;"wordads-tag" data-slot-type&equals;"belowpost">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div id&equals;"atatags-dynamic-belowpost-69e4a884d52ba">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<script type&equals;"text&sol;javascript">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;window&period;getAdSnippetCallback &equals; 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