Home BUSINESS Pound will remain volatile after Brexit delay hope sparks rebound, says Carney

Pound will remain volatile after Brexit delay hope sparks rebound, says Carney

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Pound will remain volatile after Brexit delay hope sparks rebound, says Carney
Mark Carney

&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"wpcnt">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"wpa">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<span class&equals;"wpa-about">Advertisements<&sol;span>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div class&equals;"u top&lowbar;amp">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<amp-ad width&equals;"300" height&equals;"265"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; type&equals;"pubmine"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; data-siteid&equals;"111265417"&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab; data-section&equals;"2">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;amp-ad>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;<&sol;div><p>Bank of England governor Mark Carney has said the pound’s rebound after the Commons vote signals market hope that Brexit can be delayed&comma; but warned over further volatility&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>In a hearing with MPs on the Treasury Select Committee&comma; he said financial markets also saw the prospect of the UK crashing out the EU without a deal as having waned&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>However&comma; Mr Carney said he did not put &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;much weight” on short-term market movements and that the market is &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;waiting”&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The hearing with the Bank’s Financial Policy Committee &lpar;FPC&rpar; comes after the crushing defeat for British Prime Minister Theresa May’s Brexit deal in Parliament on Tuesday night&comma; which initially sparked a steep fall in the value of the pound followed by a marked bounceback&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Sterling has since held largely firm&comma; at just under 1&period;29 US dollars and 1&period;13 euros&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Mr Carney said the &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;sharp rebound” in sterling in the immediate aftermath of the vote &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;would appear to reflect some expectation that the process of resolution would be extended and that the prospect of no-deal may have been diminished”&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>He stressed he was not giving his opinion&comma; but the &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;market’s initial take”&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<blockquote><p>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;The markets&comma; like the country&comma; are looking to Parliament for direction and one would expect continued volatility&period;”<&sol;p><&sol;blockquote>&NewLine;<p>The hearing also looked at the risks facing the economy and strength of the financial system following the Bank’s most recent Financial Stability Report&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Mr Carney warned there was set to be a further slowdown in the powerhouse Chinese economy&comma; but that the UK’s exposure was &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;relatively modest”&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>He told MPs the slowdown in China is partly down to US trade tensions&comma; as well as &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;necessary but difficult” reforms of its shadow banking system&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Mr Carney said&colon; &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;There are a variety of indications that growth momentum in China is slowing … and will decelerate further during this year&period;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>He said Chinese growth was likely to reduce closer to 6&percnt; this year&comma; but could in time potentially fall to the &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;high 5&percnt; level”&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Mr Carney said the UK had a single-digit trade exposure to China&comma; but &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;very large and welcome” exposure to China through UK banks&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Anil Kashyap&comma; an external member of the bank’s Financial Policy Committee &lpar;FPC&rpar;&comma; told MPs that a 3&percnt; decline in Chinese gross domestic product &lpar;GDP&rpar; would reduce UK GDP by an estimated 0&period;5&percnt;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>A 10&percnt; shock to Chinese GDP would mean a 3&percnt; loss to UK GDP&comma; but he said a 10&percnt; decline in Chinese growth would be &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;cataclysmic”&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>When asked if China’s slowdown was a bigger threat to the UK economy than Brexit&comma; the Bank’s executive director for risk&comma; Alex Brazier&comma; said&colon; &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;We don’t rank them&period; They’re both very important&period;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Mr Carney also raised fears that the mounting trade dispute between the US and China would not be resolved any time soon&comma; given the wide-ranging nature of the row&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>He said&colon; &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;These more fundamental issues will take some time to have a meeting of minds about&comma; because the two sides start from very different positions&period;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div style&equals;"padding-bottom&colon;15px&semi;" class&equals;"wordads-tag" data-slot-type&equals;"belowpost">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<div id&equals;"atatags-dynamic-belowpost-69fac6c446a8e">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;<script type&equals;"text&sol;javascript">&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;window&period;getAdSnippetCallback &equals; function &lpar;&rpar; &lbrace;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;if &lpar; false &equals;&equals;&equals; &lpar; window&period;isWatlV1 &quest;&quest; false &rpar; &rpar; &lbrace;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&sol;&sol; Use Aditude scripts&period;&NewLine;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;&Tab;window&period;tudeMappings &equals; 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