An Iranian oil tanker being pursued by the US has turned off its tracking beacon, leading to renewed speculation that it will head to Syria.
The disappearance of the Adrian Darya 1, formerly known as the Grace 1, follows a pattern of Iranian oil tankers turning off their Automatic Identification System to try to mask where they deliver their cargo amid US sanctions targeting Iran’s energy industry.
Meanwhile, tensions have spiked across the Persian Gulf over mysterious tanker explosions, the shooting down of a US military surveillance drone by Iran, and America deploying more troops and warplanes to the region.
The Adrian Darya, which is carrying 2.1 million barrels of Iranian crude worth some 130 million US dollars, switched off its AIS beacon just before 1600GMT Monday, according to the ship-tracking website MarineTraffic.com.
The vessel was some 45 nautical miles (83km) off the coast of Lebanon and Syria, heading north at its last report.
Earlier, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said the US had intelligence that the Adrian Darya would head to the Syrian port of Tartus, just a short distance from its last reported position.
The actions of the Adrian Darya follow a pattern of other Iranian ships turning off their trackers once they near Cyprus in the Mediterranean Sea, said Ranjith Raja, a lead analyst at the data firm Refinitiv.
Based on the fact that Turkey has stopped taking Iranian crude oil and Syria historically has taken around one million barrels of crude oil a month from Iran, Mr Raja said it was likely that the ship would be offloading its cargo in Syria.
That could see it transfer crude oil on to smaller vessels, allowing it to be taken to port, he said.
“The Iranian oil going to Syria is not something new,” he added. “This is a known fact.”
The oil shipment website Tanker Trackers similarly believes the Adrian Darya to be off Syria.
“It is now safe to assume she is in Syria’s territorial waters,” Tanker Trackers wrote on Twitter on Tuesday.
– EVERY SINGLE ONE of these vessels used the Suez Canal to reach Syria from Iran.
– Iran has no need to ship all the way around Africa to reach Syria. Complete waste of time.
– Egypt does NOT block Iranian flags in the Suez Canal due to 1888 Convention of Constantinople. pic.twitter.com/Q6HQ3VklJw
— TankerTrackers.com, Inc.⚓️🛢 (@TankerTrackers) September 2, 2019
Iranian officials have not identified who bought the Adrian Darya’s cargo, only that it has been sold.
The US, which has sought to seize the tanker, alleged in federal court that the ship is owned by Iran’s Revolutionary Guard, a paramilitary organisation answerable only to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
The US recently declared the Guard a terrorist organisation, giving it greater power to pursue seizing its assets.
US officials have since warned countries not to aid the Adrian Darya, which previously said it would be heading to Greece and Turkey, before turning off its tracker on Monday.
Authorities in Gibraltar alleged the ship was bound for a refinery in Baniyas, Syria, when they seized it in early July. They ultimately let it go after holding it for weeks.
Meanwhile, Mr Rouhani addressed Iran’s parliament on Tuesday and touched on ongoing negotiations aimed at saving the country’s unravelling nuclear deal.
Under the landmark 2015 agreement, Iran agreed to limit its enrichment of uranium in exchange for the lifting of economic sanctions.
The International Atomic Energy Agency confirmed last week that Iran’s stockpile of low-enriched uranium still exceeds the amount allowed by the deal.
The UN agency also said Iran continues to enrich uranium up to 4.5%, above the 3.67% allowed under the deal but still far below weapons-grade levels of 90%.
Iran has warned it will take additional steps away from the accord on Friday if it doesn’t get help from Europe to sell its oil abroad, calling it their “third step” away from the deal.
An Iranian politician has suggested France is proposing a 15 billion US dollar credit line for Tehran if it returns to the deal.
Mr Rouhani told MPs that Iran would not negotiate directly with the USunless it returned to the deal.
That came as speculation grew of a possible meeting between Mr Trump and Iranian officials following an appearance by Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif at the G7 summit in August.
“Unfortunately after America’s violation (of the deal) and treachery and its getting out of its commitments, the Europeans too either failed to carry out their duties, or couldn’t do so, or both,” Mr Rouhani told parliament.
He added: “If (the Europeans) don’t do anything significant, we surely will take the third step in the coming days.”